Trump and women and victory

It remains one of those bizarre mysteries, why so many American women love Donald Trump. The answer seems to be, despite all the things Trump has said about women in the past, that they believe he and only he will preserve the way of life which they treasure. You would have thought that Barack Obama would have been their man. Articulate, good-looking, super-cool and embracing all. Well I'm sure many women did vote for him, partly because they didn't like Hillary Clinton. But Obama was liberal-minded and in the United States that's not necessarily a good thing, in fact definitely not a good thing in more than half the states of America. Republican women want a president who will always stand up for them, not just as women but as Americans who can make up their own minds about their lives, without a nanny state ordering them around. They believe that Trump is that sort of president, never mind his atrocious comments about what he fancies doing to women. So the midterm elections next Tuesday are all about this, a nanny state under the Democrats - I'm short-handing their views - or a stand-up-for-yourself nation. Trump has very successfully rallied people to this particular cause. If it were as simple as that, the Republicans will do well in the midterms and give Trump what he needs, a Republican majority in both houses of Congress. But at the same time Trump has caused such divisions in the country that some people, not necessarily with strong political views, might just vote against him to ensure the Democrats can hold him in check in the House of Representatives. I have no idea how many such people there are like this in the US, but if there is a particularly volatile Trump-like candidate in their constituency, opposed by a frightfully nice and charming Democrat rival, possibly it could make a difference. Trump himself certainly thinks so because he has hinted the Republicans might lose to the Democrats in the House of Representatives. I'm going to make a prediction which of course is foolish and could be proved wrong on Tuesday. But I have a feeling in my gut that the Trump momentum will succeed yet again and the Republicans will retain their majority in both house of Congress. Why? Because most voters will remember the political gridlock faced by Obama. In his first two years he enjoyed Democratic majorities in both houses but then he lost the House of Representatives to the Republicans and from then on it was political chaos. Budgets not passed, government shutdowns, anarchy. Nobody wants those days to return. So I believe the Trump Party - for that is what the Republican party is these days - will win on Tuesday.