Tuesday 1 June 2021

The UK's Covid decision: scientists versus politicians again

Scientists are pleadinng with the UK government to put data before deadlines in judging whether to allow the whole country to go back to normal life on June 21st. Boris told us that June 21st was going to be the big day, so naturally everyone has been planning the rest of their lives from that date. But deadlines are fatal when so many things can go wrong. The closer we get to June 21st the less likely it seems that that will be the date of freedom after all. Too many scientists are now saying that the India variant - renamed the Delta variant by the World Health Organisation presumably to take the stigma out of it - makes it unwise for the government to stick with June 21st and should delay the big day until the end of June or maybe into July. Or August. And so it goes on. If the June 21st freedom day is delayed because of the Delta variant then the Boris government has to take the blame for allowing 20,000 people from India into the country when it knew that the variant was rampant. Now they're saying there's aother variant in the world, the Vietnam variant. Perhaps the WHO will call this the Theta variant since they're using the Greek alphabet to designate the different versions of Covid. How many planes I wonder are even now coming into Heathrow from Vietnam? There's bound to be at least one other variant before June 21st, so I'm holding out no hope whatsoever about June 21st. And then what about the traffic light system? Is there any chance Spain, France and Italy will be put on the green list in the next week? It seems not. Thanks to Delta it looks like Spain is going to stay amber. So, despite all the encouraging promises from the politicians, it will be the scientists who rule the day. This may be sensible but I suspect that scientists and medical experts will always err on the side of excessive caution. It's going to be doom and gloom for several more months!

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