Tuesday 17 November 2020

Joe Biden pushes on regardless as Trump thinks of 2024

SIXTY-THREE DAYS TO GO. Every day there is something new from Joe Biden. As president-elect and only nine weeks before he is inaugurated as the 46th president of the United States - 46th POTUS - he has a helluva lot of things to do and sort out, notably fix his cabinet and all the key officials he wants around him in the White House, in between taking calls from around the world from leaders desperate to get their spoke in before anyone else. It must be a non-stop time for Biden, giving him only an inkling of what he will face each day when he takes over. But while the Biden planning is getting to fever pitch, the incumbent president is carrying on as if nothing dramatic happened two weeks ago. It really is bizarre. Donald Trump will not, absolutely will not concede that he lost, let alone that Biden won. What is going to happen when we get really close to Inauguration Day? Will Trump refuse to participate? Will he demand a helicopter to take him to Florida? Will he go golfing? Or will he lock the door of his private bedroom in the White House and decline to come out? I think in the end Trump will do what's right but with huge reluctance. I believe he will be there at the January 20 inauguration and will try and look disinterested. He will probably never officially concede but he might use slighty concessionary language in a tweet or in a statement that vaguely embraces the idea that he will leave the White House and allow Biden in as caretaker president before he, Donald Trump, comes back in 2024 for his second four-year term. If he goes ahead and announces he is going to stand in 2024, there is no question that he will expect not only to be chosen as the Republican nominated candidate but that he will defeat Biden and Kamala Harris. So any concession he makes between now and January 20 will be marginalised as he promises to his millions of supporters: "I'll be back."

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