As usual nearly everyone got it wrong!

The Washington establishment, and in that august environment I include The New York Times and The Washington Post as well as 95 per cent of the most esteemed pollsters, simply got it wrong. Again. I never believed the polls showing a huge margin between Winning Biden and losing Trump. It just didn't make sense when you know that so many Republican voters don't necessarily want to tell the polling people the truth about how they are going to vote. ie Trump, no way changing to Biden. I'm talking here about ordinary folk, as Americans would say, not the really clever and in-the-know Republicans who decided ages ago that Trump should not be president - the Never-Trumpers. Ordinary folk often keep their views to themselves, either by giving answers that they think the pollsters want to hear or by not answering at all. The pollsters said Florida could have gone to Biden. But there was no way that was going to happen. Florida is full of Cuban immigrants who hated Castro's communis and Venezuelans who had fled to the wonderful United States of America to escape from the brutal "socialism" of President Nicholas Maduro. Why on earth would any of them vote for Biden who for all they know espouses the same sort of socialism they escaped from in their countries of birth? Florida was always going to go to Trump. I never had any doubt. I predicted that Trump would win in 2016, despite reading the most respected papers - see above - every day telling me that Hillary was streets ahead. She got clobbered and so did all those who were so sure Trump would be defeated. This time I have been predicting a very close result. Again in contrast to the majority of polls and Washington media who said Biden was heading for a big victory. With major states still to announce results, I believe the clever money will be on Trump winning reelection. If that happens the pollsters who got it so wrong again should take up market gardening and get plenty of fertiliser in. Trump for another four years? I reckon.