Trump is getting desperate but there is a glimmer of hope

By some accounts Donald Trump is now gettig desperate, fearful that he is going to lose. Every morning apparently he wakes up in a bad mood as the days slip away for him to overcome his rival Joe Biden and win reelection. Working for Trump in this mood must be challenging to say the least. There is so much dirt flying around, the latest being the participation of Rudy Giuliani, one of Trump's closest lawyers, in the latest film by Sacha Baron Cohen showing him lying on a bed with a young woman leaning over him. I won't go into the details. They are gross! Whether there is any truth in the allegations or not about what Giuliani might or might not have been doing, it's just another ingredient in the rapidly deteriorating atmosphere in Washington as November 3 approaches. Tonight's TV debate between Trump ad Biden has new rules in order to prevent the sort of scenes we witnessed in the first debate in Cleveland, Ohio. But I can't imagine tonight's show will be anything other than unedifying. This is US politics at its worst. If the debate goes badly for Trump he is going to wake up tomorrow in an even worse mood. The only thing to brighten his day is an election prediction that goes against all the polls. The prediction made by Robert Cahaly, Trafalgar Group chief pollster, is that Trump will win because there are hidden Trump supporters who have not revealed their voting intentions to any polling companies. He was one of the tiny number of pollsters who predicted that Trump would win in 2016. Once again he is saying there are hidden Trump supporters today who have either kept quiet about their voting intentions or have lied to pollsters. Could that happen again? I think it's less likely because the country, Republican and Democrat, can now make up their minds after experiencing four years of a Trump presidency. In 2016 it was all about dislike of Hillary Clinton AND taking a gamble on a big guy businessman who wasn't a Washington establishment politician but a TV reality show magnate who would be a totally different style of president. So they voted for Trump but now they have to work out in their minsds whether that gamble paid off. So I think pollster Cahaly is pushing his luck with his prediction. The world has moved on. But it might give Trump a glimmer of hope as his mood deteriorates each day.