Sunday 1 July 2018

Kim Jong-un is cheating already

In return for gratefully receiving Donald Trump's unsolicited decision to stop all military exercises between the US and South Korea Jim Jong-un is pushing ahead with his programme to develop more weapons-grade uranium and planning, according to US intelligence, to hang on to a proportion of his nuclear material as part of his "agreement" to denuclearise. I'm not sure how the CIA and NSA know this is what Kim Jong-un is planning to do, unless, of course, they overheard him chatting to his nuclear weapon advisers. But what Kim seems to be planning and what Trump said about North Korea no longer being a threat to the world don't quite gell. When, if ever, is North Korea going to start eliminating its nuclear weapons? The omens are not good, and the longer the US intel boys come up with stuff about North Korea cheating, what then can be said about the Singapore summit? Trump was convinced that by talking face-to-face with Kim, his big personality would be enough to impress the North Korean leader and persuade him that good relations with the US was better for him and his regime than going on making more and more nuclear bombs. But actually Kim must have planned it all beforehand. Play the beaming leader, let Trump think he, Kim, has changed his ways and talk glowingly about a new era, but then carry on as before. This is where Trump and Mike Pompeo, his secretary of state, have to start being truly tough. Present the intel evidence to Kim and tell him the whole deal is off unless he opens up all his nuclear plants to the outside world. Trump will be desperate to hang on to his foreign policy scoop but it will come to nothing if Kim snubs his nose at the US president and continues to pursue his nuclear dream. Nothing is simple and straightforward at this level of politics and diplomacy, and Trump was wrong and premature to announce that the threat from North Korea was over.

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