Thursday, 16 April 2026
US naval blockade is working
It has only been going for three days but so far the US naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Gulf waterway seems to be working pretty well. At least a dozen warships are involved and they are cluttering up the outgoing end of the Strait of Hormuz. Only friendly ships are getting through. If this continues, Iran's economy is going to tank very quickly. It's already stretched thin by sanctions and war. But a successful blockade could finish off the economy. Inflation will go mad, the cost of living will rocket and the poor Iranian people are going to suffer. But the crucial thing, will this massive economic pressure bring down the hateful Islamic regime or will it survive whatever the strain? So far there has been no real hint of a collapse in determination to hold off the US. The country is effectively being held topgether by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and it's very much in their interest that the keep the regime going against all the odds. So this means they will let the Iranian people suffer for as long as it takes to force the Trump administration to agree concessions. Donald Trump won't be looking at it this way. His objective is to destroy the Iranian economy beyond help and force the Tehran clerics and military leaders to give in to all of his demands. The next week or so will show whether Trump or the IRGC are going to win this war. It still could go either way, although the naval blockade could well prove to be the president's best trump card.
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