Wednesday, 8 April 2026
Can the ceasefire last?
Two weeks will be over so quickly. If the talks due to start in Islamabad on Friday to find a peace settlement to end the war in Iran get anywhere it will be a miracle. The Iranian negotiators will arrive in an angry mood after the five weeks of bombing and assassinations of leaders, and are unlikely to want to make any concessions to the main US negotiator, Vice President JD Vance. However, the agreement to hold a two-week ceasefire was a surprise. So maybe the Tehran regime might want a deal more than they are currently saying. But the signs are not good. We don't know how good a negotiator Vance is. He's an unknown. He will have a script written by Trump and won'thave any leeway. So the Islamabad talks could end pretty quickly. The trouble is, the whole world is so relieved about the ceaefire that if it all goes wrong, and the war takes up again, much of the blame could fall on Trump, rather than on the Iranian regime.
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