Be nice to Putin and he will do a deal!

There is a new strategy in the White House for dealing with President Putin. If you are nice to him, he will immediately back away from aggression in Ukraine and agree to a peace deal. That is the only conclusion one can reach following Donald Trump's decision to lift a whole bunch of sanctions against Russia. Trump said it was part of a process to move towards a settlement. In other words, offer a carrot instead of a stick to Putin. Putin's response? He ordered massive targeting of Ukraine's energy plants overnight, turning out the lights and turning off heating for hundreds of thousands of people. No, Mr Trump, giving a juicy carrot to Putin has the opposite effect. He will take the lifting of sanctions, thank you so much, but he has no intention of giving anything in return. Why should he? He's doing fine because he has Trump on his side. Putin only responds to strength. Before the Trump move, fixed without Congress approval, the view held by most experts, military and civilian, was that the only way Ukraine could force Russia to the negotiating table was to achieve such effective results on the battlefield that Putin would have no alternative but to seek a deal before he lost everything he had gained from the invasion of Ukraine. But the lifting of sanctions, even if temporary, gives Putin a new lease of life. He can now hammer away at Ukraine throughout the winter until, as he hopes, Kyiv begs for mercy. This is not going to happen. But it's hardly surprising Zelensky is so angry with his one-time friend in the White House.

Parisienne-style war

There may be no drones or ballistic missiles involved, but Paris today looks like it has been hit by a deadly enemy force. Buildings destroyed, shops on fire and looted, streets littered with the detritus of violent protests. Everyone loves Paris. Just walking on the pavements and stopping for a coffee or baguette and watching people go by. It's a wonderful city. But it is being destroyed by thousands of protestors who are not satisfied with just peaceful demonstrations against their government. They have to destroy and loot and put fear into the city streets. There is a long history of violent protest in Paris and other French cities. But what is going on right now throughout France is a terrible indictment of how governments have failed young people who go to schools that are overcrowded and under-funded, they cannot get jobs and face futures without hope of fulflling dreams. This is the case pretty much here in the UK as well, but so far - and please don't let it happen - there are no riots. But it could happen. Young people need to have hope of a better future. In France, it seems hope has died. But violence of any kind, especially as witnessed in French cities, is never justified or excusable.

Katie Zacharia outed by the media

Becoming press secretary to President Donald Trump is hard enough but to accept that job when you know you have skeletons in the cupboard which will get out is like being a matador facing a ferocious bull without his muleta - the red cloak he swings in the raging animal's path to distract him. Katie Zacharia arrived in front of the White House press corps on her first day as Trump's press secretary without any form of protection. In fact, from the moment she opened her mouth, you knew she was going to be in serious trouble with the baying press corps. It was brutal to watch. She claimed to be a lawyer but it turned out she wasn't. She had failed her bar exam - in China - and althougb she has a law degree she has no other credential that allow her to be described as a practising attorney. Attorney, she ain't. That and the fact she couldn't string words together properly and only managed to answer three questions. Then, lto ater, she appeared on Fox News before the arch interrogator, Sean Hannity, and fell into a deep hole. Again, it was brutal. Trump showed he has a kind side to him because he literally invited her to step down if she wasn't happy. So, she did, after just five days in the post. The lesson? Never take on the media unless you are really sure of yourself and totally sure your credentials for the job will stand up to scrutiny.

Trump finds Putin easier than Zelensky

I really do think Volodymyr Zelensky has the most difficult job in the world, bar none. He has to keep Donald Trump sweet while the US president is constantly kicking him in the nether regions. He has now almost criticised Trump for backing Putin after the extraordinary decision to buy Russian diesel to make up for shortages in America. But he can't come out and slam Trump because Ukraine relies on the US to provide intelligence and missile interceptors to stay alive. Now Trump has said that he finds Putin much easier to deal with than Zelensky. But that's hardly surprising. When he deals with Putin he talks to him like a fellow leader on the world stage and asks him for favours - ie the diesel deal. When he talks to Zelensky, he has to deal with a stubborn leader who wants to save his country from extinction and Trump finds that irritating. He wants a clear-cut deal to end the war. Putin gets what he wants, territorially, and Ukraine gets some sort of vague security arrangement with the US. Meanwhile, Trump is outraged that Ukraine has restarted hitting Russian oil installations but says nothing about Putin doing exactly the same to Ukraine's energy plants. All Zelensky can do is rush around Europe to make sure the Europeans are still on side. It's deja vue every month. This war is just not going to end.

Ceasefires come and go or don't even start

The word "ceasefire" has lost its meaning. It used to mean that an agreement had been made between two warring sides to stop shooting and fighting and bring at least some calm to those suffering in the violence. Now, it's a just a catchword which means very little. Donald Trump declared that he had negotiated a sort of ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia by persuading both parties to stop attacking each other's oil and gas facilities. But clearly there was nothing in writing because Russia not only didn't respond, at least publicly, it then carried on launching strikes on Ukraine's energy plants. Ukraine said it would comply with Trump's ceasefire call, but after being hammered by Russian drones and missiles, realised the ceasefire had no substance. Zelensky has now gone back to targeting Russian energy facilities. So much for Trump's intervention. It amounted to nothing. Now I see the Kremlin is complaining that Ukraine is not adhering to the Trump ceasefire. It's beyond belief, the hypocrisy of those in charge in Moscow. Well, Putin, that is. As for the bizarre slowing down of the Starlink satellite system, it seems that is now up and running once more. But it has shown Zelensky that Trump can turn off the tap whenever he wants. Putin will always be the one to benefit.

Why is satellite coverage over Ukraine being cut?

In a war of drones and missiles nothing is more important than having effective satellite coverage to warn of incoming strikes and providing accurate grid references for offensive missions. Ukraine relies on Elon Musk's Starlink satellites to protect the country from Putin's missiles and drones and to strike at Russian targets way over the border. Now, for reasons that can only be assumed are political, this vital service is being cut back. Ukrainian lives are being lost as a result. Is this Washington doing its best to bring down Zelensky and to end the war, in Russia's favour? If so, it is a cruel and vindictive way of trying to force a conclusion to this terrible war. The US-led coalition vowed from the beginning to do all it could to help Ukraine defend itself against Russia's invasion. But now that pledge looks shakier than ever. Without US support, Ukraine will lose. Europe can try to fill the gap left by the US, but it will never be able to provide the sort of satellite intelligence Ukraine needs to survive. This is a shocking development.

Europe despairs over Trump-Putin diesel deal

Before Donald Trump arrived back in the White House, President Joe Biden could be relied on to support Ukraine all the way, with money, intelligence and weapons - and heavy sanctions agains Russia, in particular banning purchases of Russian oil and natural gas. Biden was too cautious in helping Kyiv with weapons, delaying decisions over sending longer-range missiles and failing to uspply enough anti-missile interceptors. But Biden and the coalition he put together could never be described as kowtowing to Putin. President Zelensky begged for quicker supplies of weapons from the US and coalition countries, but, basically, he always knew everyone in the west backed him. Now, that has all changed. Donald Trump has, bizarrely, done a deal with Putin, lifting sanctions to allow for the US to buy Russian diesel, to the tune of about $4 billion, because of the worldwide shortage of diesel, caused, not by Russia as such but by the US war against Iran. Putin must think he has won the lottery. Four billion dollars will go into the Russian economy, thank you very much, all or most of which will no doubt be spent on building more weapons to hit Ukraine. No wonder European leaders are grinding their teeth. Trump is the leader of the western alliance but is acting against everyone's interests, except Putin's. There is nothing Europe can do but wail and moan, and. as for poor old Zelensky, he has been stabbed in the back by what used to be his main ally.