Tuesday 11 June 2024

Ukraine is getting bolder

The Kyiv government is getting bolder, spreading the war against the Russians further and further into their own territory. The damage or destruction of a prime Su-57 Felon multi-role fighter jet by Ukrainian armed drones is the latest incident in which Kyiv has gone way beyond its own borders to strike at Russian targets. Russia's most advanced fighter was targeted at its base at Akhtubinsk in the Astrakhan region, about 365 miles across the frontier. First of all, that's an impressive long-rage drone strike, and second it will underline for Moscow that its most prized military assets are now going to be vulnerable whether they are based inside Ukraine or in Russia itself. In fact, I see the war changing dramatically. With the frontlines in the Dombas region in eastern Ukraine pretty much set in stone, I envisage President Zelensky going more and more for Russian targets both way over the border and in Crimea. In the end, even the cautious Joe Biden will acknowledge this is the only way to force President Putin to reconside his war in Ukraine. Russia will always have the advantage in firepower, manpower and time. But if he begins to lose a lot of Russia's most advanced weapon systems to bold Ukrainian long-range strikes, Putin might begin to think it's time to end the war, especially if Russian-annexed Crimea suffers unacceptable death and destruction.

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