Saturday 26 August 2023

Has Trump peaked too early?

Is there a tiny chance that Trump is attracting so much publicity with all his criminal indictments hanging around his neck that some of the undecided voters and even some of his less passionate supporters will at some point have had enough of his face in their faces and opt for someone with softer features, a quieter voice and pronounced views but without shouting them from the rooftops every day? Right now I would say there is no chance of that happening. But how about in, say, six months time when everyone will have had a deluge of Trump and will be waiting for him to make his first appearance in a trial? Might some voters, Republicans I mean, begin to say to themselves, do we really want four more years of this? It's what some newspapers in the US are already calling Trump fatigue. It sounds like wishful thinking by Democrat supporters but it could be argued that Trump has peaked too early. He started his campaign before anyone else and has built up an unrivalled head of steam at the top of the rankings. If I was a betting man I would say the following rivals have absolutely no chance at all of unseating him: Mike Pence, Ron DeSantis, Chris Christie and pretty much all the rest, with two exceptions - Nikki Haley and Vivek Ramaswamy. They are still outsiders by a long way. But if Trump has peaked, could either of them surge forward? Vivek RamaswamyI doubt has the staying power, but Nikki Haley is the outsider worth a few dollars for a bet in my view. She may well rise up the rankings because she has a lot going for her. If Trump fatigue really does set in, then Haley for president might become a more interesting prospect, and she could be capable of beating Joe Biden.

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