Sunday 7 August 2022

US on a hiding to nothing

When the Taiwan crisis slows down as it inevitably will, I don't think Washington will be able to look back on the whole drama with any degree of satisfaction. Beijing won on points. Taiwan and Nancy Pelosi scored an own goal. One of the problems is that after China's staggeringly aggressive response to Pelosi's visit, any thought of future VIP trips to Taiwan from the US looks likely to be abandoned. So yet another victory for Beijing. The Pentagon advised against the Pelosi troop because of fears of what China might do, so if anyone else from Congress, let alone the US administration, wants to hop off to Taiwan, the Pentagon will surely demand, not just advise, against it. Beijing can't lose this one I'm afraid.

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