Monday 4 March 2019

Maduro doesn't arrest his rival!!

Nicolas Maduro appears to have done the first sensible thing in his life. He didn't order his henchmen to go to Caracas airport and arrest the returning Juan Guaido who had been on a tour of South American countries to gather support for his campaign to oust the embattled Venezuelan president. The Caracas supreme court had banned him from travelling out of the country but he went anyway and must have expected to be arrested as soon as he came down the gangway back onto Venezuelan soil. But Maduro must have realised that arresting Guaido at this point would bring the wrath of the Americans down on his head. Venezuela was THE global story not that long ago and every headline attacked him one way or the other. Perhaps he thought to himself that if he kept quiet for a bit the nightmare might go away. His personal nightmare that is, the one that involves his military marching up the steps of his palace and frogmarching him away to an uncertain future. So he held off from detaining Guiado but that doesn't mean it won't happen over the next few months. Maduro is still able to rely on his heavily bribed generals and on the contracted Russian military who are keeping the dictator safe and well. Today the Russian chief of the general staff, General Valeri Gerasimov, accused the US of running a covert programme to undermine countries such as Venezuela. Well the US has certainly given its backing to Guaido because he promises hope for the suffering Venezuelan people. But the Russians? All they want is a nice big foothold in the country and have put all their money on Maduro, never mind the atrocious way he has destroyed the country's economy and cares not a fig for his people. The Russians I have met over the years have all been charming, hospitable and decent human beings but they have a government and a leader who make despicable decisions for despicable reasons. They support Bashar Assad even though he was responsible for the deaths of thousands of his people. Does the Kremlin have no comprehension of what is right and just in this world? All they want to do is to subvert to push their interests and then boldly deny it has anything to do with them. So Maduro will survive while Moscow supports him. Guaido is still a free man but I fear for his safety.

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