Monday, 11 March 2019

Brexit down to the wire and beyond

Theresa May heads off to Strasbourg to see Jean-Claude Juncker, the very self-satisfied president of the European Commission. You do wonder what on earth this late-late-late trip is going to achieve. Juncker has up to now given absolutely no hint that he is ready to save the day, indeed save Theresa May, and provide the key language which might just might make the difference and persuade all Tory MPs at least and the Northern Ireland Democratic Unionist Party to vote for the prime minister's deal. Why would he suddenly become benign and hand such a gift to Theresa May? He won't because, quite simply, he doesn't want the UK to leave the EU and he is hoping that another defeat in the House of Commons for May will eventually lead to another referendum in which the tired exhausted fed-up British people will reverse their opinion and beg to stay in the EU. Voila! All the agony and nightmare over. But if that were to happen which is possible but unlikely, Theresa May would have to resign, there would be a horrible leadership battle, the Tory Party would implode and in would walk Jeremy Corbyn into 10 Downing Street after winning a dreadful, divisive election campaign. Is that what Juncker wants? Well, yes, as long as the UK is still a member of the EU. So watch out tomorrow. Theresa will have returned empty-handed from Strasbourg, she will be massively defeated in the House of Commons when a vote is put befoe MPs, and chaos will ensue. There are no longer any good options left. Just some form of anarchy.

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