Wednesday 17 May 2023

Poles living and working in the UK are being called up for military service back home

Brexit or no Brexit, there are still large numbers of Poles living and working in the United Kingdom. But now they are getting demand letters from back home to return to Poland. The reason says everything about the state of nervousness across the countries of eastern Europe who fear that Putin has his eye on them after he has finished destroyng Ukraine. The Poles are being called up for military service and are leaving in their droves as part of Warsaw's conscription programme. Poland is a frontline country and is more anxious than most about Putin's longer term ambitions. The reality of course is that if Putin were to dare to invade Poland or indulge in airstrikes or whatever, he would instantly be facing a war with the whole of Nato under the alliance's Article 5 pledge for every member nation. Moreover. can Putin really be plotting to take over Poland, Hungary, Romania and the three Baltic countries of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania to try and reinstate the old Soviet Union? After his experience in Ukraine where his troops have been battered since they first entered the country on February 24, 2022, I can't imagine the Russian president has any dreams left to expand his territorial ambitions. And, despite all the early warnings from knowledgeable commentators that the whole of eastern Europe was at risk of being overrun by Russian troops, I doubt even Putin would ever have believed that was either realistic or prudent. He doesn't want a war with Nato for the simple reason that he knows Russia would lose if it remained a conventional war. And if it turned to a nuclear war then Putin and the planet would lose. So, despite the departure of conscript-age Poles from the UK to prepare to fight the Russians, I think it's over-egging the apocalypse scenario.

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