Wednesday 24 January 2024

Nikki Haley on a lonely path

She's right to keep going, provided her donors stick with her, but Nikki Haley is now going to get the full force of Donald Trump's sarcasm and bitter wit as he marches foward to the next primaries and caucuses. It's going to be a lonely path for her, as both Trump and Joe Biden settle down for the real race, a rerun of the 2020 election. She might win something along the way but statistically and realistically, her campaign for the White House is over. But as so many things could change that she believes it makes sense to fight on. Her winning the nomination because Trump falls at the last fence (conviction, prison, Supreme Court ban) would be like the horse that comes through the mist from the back of the field to win the Grand National at Aintree in Liverpool after every other horse has fallen over or lost their jockeys. The horse that famously did that was Foinavon who emerged through the mist to win the Grand National in 1967 at odds of 100-1 after the rest of the field fell by the wayside. Could Haley be the Foinavon of the 2024 election? Right now I'd put money on Trump winning the nomination and the election. But a few dollars/pounds on Haley at 100-1 just might be a gamble worth taking.

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