Monday 22 January 2024

It's now just a two-horse race for the Republican nomination

Ron DeSantis looked at himself in the mirror and realised that very few people in the United States wanted him to be the next president. It must have been an easy but devastating decision. He had started off so cocky after his reelection as governor in Florida. He thought the momentum from that success would carry him all the way to the White House. But how wrong he was, and how galling it must have been for him to realise that at this stage in the campaign. In a way, it's surprising that he has dropped out so early. He was far behind Trump in the Iowa caucuses vote but he did come second. Nikki Haley, the former governor of South Carolina, came third but she is still in the race. But it's all about attitude and confidence and belief. Haley still believes she might be able to beat Trump, whereas DeSantis came to the conclusion that he hadn't a hope and opted to give his support to Trump. It's a huge boost for the Trump campaign. In reality the only way Haley is going to win the nomination is for Trump to be convicted of a crime and sent to prison. The biggest trial, the one concerned with Trump's alleged involvement in the January 6 2021 assault on the Capitol, is set for March. But will it go ahead or be delayed beyond July when the Republican convention will choose its candidate, or even beyond November 5, the day of the presidential election? Nikki Haley can only pray that the trial goes ahead as proposed by the prosecution. But even then she won't be guaranted victory because if Trump is aquitted, he will win the nomination.

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