Wednesday 8 November 2023

Has Biden any chance of beating Trump?

Will Joe Biden's handling of the Middle East crisis help or harm his chances of being reelected in November next year? Right now I would say his strong support for Israel but his constant appeal for a softly softly approach, so no civilians are killed, won't necessarily boost his fan club. But it's difficult to see what else he could have done. Trump probably believes that if he was president the war would be over by now or would never have happened but I doubt anyone would go along with that. So maybe Biden will get some kudos from the way he has handled the Israel/Gaza war, provided it doesn't go on for months. But the way it's going at the moment there must be a risk of a protracted war or at the very least a long presence of Israeli troops in Gaza which would cause outrage among Arab nations. A bitter occupation of Gaza throughout 2024 could be disastrous for Biden and for his prospects of a second term. There's a year to go. Biden is going to need a lot of luck and some political or foreign policy successes if he has a chance of overcoming the Trump bandwagon.

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