Sunday 17 September 2023

How exactly will Trump end the war in Ukraine in one day?

Does Donald Trump actually have a proper plan to end the war in Ukraine on his first day back in the White House - IF he gets there of course? Putin has commented that he's very pleased that Trump could end the war so quickly. Kyiv on the other hand, for obvious reasons, is extremely alarmed because they can see Trump handing over its sovereign land for a deal with Putin. So what is in Trump's mind? Just like trying to second-guess what's in Putin's mind it's impossible to second-guess what's in Trump's mind. However, I guess it would go something like this: Trump would anounce on Day One that he is going to order the Pentagon to stop all future supplies of weapons to Ukraine in return for Putin announcing an immediate ceasefire. Trump would then tell Kyiv to attend a summit with Putin, President Zelensky (and Trump, of course) with their respective foreign ministers to bash out a land/peace settlement. If Kyiv agrees to surrender some of the land that Putin wants, including the whole of Crimea, he, Trump will make sure that Ukraine joins Nato to protect the rest of the territory. He will tell Putin that he has to put up with Ukraine being with Nato but promises no alliance missiles or troops will ever be permanently based on Ukrainian territory. That's about it. Putin will like the land-grab bit but will oppose the Nato membership, and Kyiv will hate the territory handover but love the Nato membership guarantee. It's a deal probably only Trump could propose. He obviously thinks it will work. Zelensky will never agree.

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