Monday 10 May 2021

Biden is on a high but Trump is still dreaming of being president again

Looking at the Joe Biden popularity stakes in the US right now and you would think that Donald Trump might start planning his permanent retirement. More than 60 per cent of people in a survey liked the way Biden is doing business so far, including the way he is driving Covid-19 into the shadows by the rapid vaccination programme. Of course Trump is not the sort of bloke who will just say "Enough is enough, this chap Biden is doing too well, I'll forget about 2024." Of course he won't. But the longer the popularity polls favour Biden the more difficult it will be for Trump, despite all his Republican backing, to put his name forward again for the White House job. Yet he is definitely considering it because he said so over the weekend. One of the complicating factors for the former president is that Biden has made it pretty clear he sees himelf as a two-term president. There's only a tiny chance he might hand over the mantle to his deputy, Kamala Harris, and it would have to be for health reasons. Into his fourth month in office, Biden by now will have got the White House power bug and even though it causes sleepless nights, he looks like he is enjoying being president. So why give it up before he has to? Sorry, Kamala, but it looks like you are going to have to wait until 2028. But Trump can't wait that long. Without formally declaring it, he has his sights on 2024 and big time. He, like Biden, won't want to pass the baton to someone else even if he or she looks like, sounds like and basically is a Trump Part Two. No, he wants the glory for himself. But does he dare stand if Biden continues to do well? Trump should never be underestimated, as Biden's White House chief of staff Ron Klain said over the weekend. But even someone with as oversized an ego as Trump, the thought of losing again might just be the one factor which dissuades him from having another go at the Big Job.

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