Tuesday 4 August 2020

Trump is way behind Biden in California

California has always been a Democrat-favouring state but the latest poll shows Trump is very nearly 40 points behind Joe Biden. That's not just a huge gap, it's a hit in the face for the president as he tries to revamp his campaign to get reelected in November. Figures like that not only tell him how unpopular he is in the country's biggest state but also reflect a general mood in the country about the way Trump's first four years are being judged. Voters seem increasingly alarmed by the fragmented way the coronavirus pandemic has been handled. There is so much uncertainty and not much leadership. Polls often get it wrong but all the recent voter surveys have been unanimous: Biden is streets ahead of Trump. Not because he is a fantastic candidate for the presidency or inspires everyone with confidence and hope but because of the growing disaffection for Trump. Unless things dramatically change for the president, he is going to join the small elite club of presidents who only managed one term in office, either voluntarily or because they were ousted. This is one club that Trump never thought in a million years he would be forced to join. He still doesn't believe it but it's growing more likely every day.

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