Saturday 4 May 2019

Admiral Fallon plotting military action in Venezuela

It looks like the Pentagon and Admiral Fallon, commander of US Southern Command, are plotting and planning some sort of miiltary action in Venezuela. But fortunately, from a brief comment from the admiral the planning is all about stabilising the country if/once Nicolas Maduro falls. That seems to make sense. So it would be US troops distributing food aid and medicine and making sure Juan Guaido is settled in safely as the new president. This is what the Pentagon would call best-case scenario planning. In reality this sounds like pie-in-the-sky planning. Judging by the stalwart support of the Venezuelan army for Maduro, I can't see the Big Man suddenly caving in, especialy after Moscow told him to stay put. But who knows, perhaps Trump and Putin, in their hour-long telephone chat this weekend, might have come to an agreement. Unlikely I know but Putin and Trump do have a sort of relationship that just might produce results. Putin would be furious if the US launched an invasion and toppled Maduro, but if he could get a promise from Trump not to do that, there might be room for a deal. I think even Putin must realise that hanging on to a man like Maduro who is destroying his country and its people will probably in the end turn out badly for him and for relations with the US. I know this may seem naive because normally Putin doesn't care a fig for anyone. But he DOES want to be a player on the world stage and he probaby has a better chance of achieving that with Trump in the White House than with say Joe Biden or Kamala Harris or Bernie Sanders. So let's watch and see. Perhaps US and Rusian troops could act together to stabilise the country and do some good for a change. I know I know, that's about as likely as Trump saying to Mexico, "OK guys you can all come and live in the US free gratis."

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