Monday, 30 March 2026

Have the negotiations with Iran got anywhere?

The latest Iranian interlocutor vis a vis talks with third parties to bring the war against Iran to an end appears to be the Speaker of the Parliamemt, Mohamad Bagher Ghalibaf. That doesn't mean he won't be bumped off by the Israeli air force or Mossad but right now he's the main man. But has he yet shown any interest in making a deal? In public it's all belligerent rhetoric but as the days go by and more bombs fall, destroying military infrastructure, surely someone in the regime must be saying "enough". The real problem is that there is no one really in charge in Iran. The Speaker of the Parliament has always been a powerful position but he is not The Decision Maker. The Supreme Leader is the key figure, but Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei is an elusive individual who may or may not be injured. Donald Trump doesn't help by one minute being terrifically optimistic about a deal any day and then warning he's going to hit Iran bigger than ever or destroy their power plants to make them all live in the dark. If this is a negotiating tactic it doesn't seem to be impressing the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps which is carrying on firing missiles like it has an inexaustible supply and the IRGC leaders want revenge, not peace. Is this going to go on for ever or there something in the wind which will suddenly bring back the smile to everyone's face?

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