Sunday, 22 February 2026
Is Iran resigned to war with the US?
No one expects Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, suddenly to capitulate and give in to all of the demands made by Donal dTrump. It's just not going to happen. By all accounts, Khamemei is prepared to die, anticipating a likjly assassination plot by the US military in the event of war, and has already made preparations for his successor. So if the Supreme Leader has realised war is inevitable, Trump is not going to win this confrontation by diplomacy. He will have to go to war to meet his objectives. This is a sobering conclusion but, I fear, realistic. It means that all the talking so far is fairly pointless. Trump wants a denuclearised Iran with only limited ballistic missiles, and an immasculated or changed regime which will no longer threaten the world in any way. It looks like Khamenei is preparing his country for war and retaliation, probably against both Israel and US military bases in the Middle East. Ballistic missile launchers have been lined up in the western and southern areas of Iran to carry out these retaliatory strikes. So, now it's a just a question of when Trump orders the bombers to set off.
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