Tuesday, 25 November 2025
Russia and Europe/US/Ukraine are in parallel universes
Whatever "the West" comes up with to end the war in Ukraine, Putin is going to reject it for two reasons: first, he won't sign anything unless it gives him everything he wants (and this was pretty much entrenched in Trump's 28-point peace plan - all in Moscow's favour); and second, because it suits him to carry on the war. He has built a war economy and no one or hardly anyone in Russia is protesting and he believes that if he carries on attacking Ukraine, in the end, Kyiv will just capitulate, and then Putin gets even more than his wildest dreams - the subjugation of an irritating neighbour. So, unless the 28-point plan, now reduced to 19 points after meddling by Kyiv and Europe, is rewriten once again and becomes more like Trump's original offer, the war will go on and on. All this desperate scrambling around to get a peace deal before Christmas will be to no avail. Some papers are already headlining their Ukraine stories as "Peace in Ukraine". Who, I mean who, are they kidding? Putin doesn't even know the meaning of peace, but he does know the meaning of war. War is destabilising for the whole of Europe and that's precisely what he wants.
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