In his current mood, Netanyahu could go for Iran's nukes or oil facilities

Benjamin Netanyahu has vowed to retaliate for Iran's brazen launching of 180 missiles at Israel yesterday and Tehran can't be in any doubt that the Israeli prime minister will do just that. But what sort of retaliation? It won't be a half-hearted bash at an Iranian air-defence site, like in April. This time it's going to be much much bigger, but will he go for an Iranian nuclear plant or a major oil industry installation? Netanyahu is in an angry, determined mood and he knows that whatever he decides he will increase his popularity ratings which have surged ever since he authorised the assassination of Hassan Nasrallah, the Hezbollah leader, and half a dozen other Hezbollah commanders. Israel has one huge advantage over Iran. It has one of the world's most sophisticated and most effective anti-missile systems, so whatever Iran throws at Israel, Netanyahu can feel pretty confident that the damage will only be slight. Whereas Iran is seriously vulnerable to an airstrike or missile attack from Israel. Will Netanyahu strike at Iran's nuclear facilities? I think he might but without help from the US there will be no gaurantee of causing sufficient damage to put back by Tehran's nuclear-bomb programme by years. Only America's deep-penetration bombs can do that, and I doubt Joe Biden will want to attack Iran as he approaches the end of his term as president. He might offer air refuelling tankers to help Israeli bombers on the way there and back, but the strike itself will surely be left to Israel alone. This is why I suspect Netanyahu will hit Iran where it is guaranteed to hurt the most, a strike on its oil industry. Iran's economy is already teetering. If its oil revenues get shot to pieces, the country will be on its knees. The poor suffering Iranian people might actually then demand an end to the tyranny they have faced for so many decades under the revolutionary ayatollahs.