Thursday 30 June 2022

Two bonuses for the US Democrats: Trump ketchup fury and ban on abortions

The United States these days seems to be permanently in outrage over big issues of the day, whether it be about abortion rghts, smuggling of illegal immigrants, shootings or the developing sensations re the January 6 failed insurrection. The key questions is: will these mighty issues favour the Republicans or the Democrats in the midterm elections in November? Increasingly I would say the Democrats will benefit which is good news for Joe Biden and bad news for Donald Trump. On the face of it, the pro-life decision by the US Supreme Court, overturning the Joe v Wade ruling guaranteeing the constitutional right for women to have abortions, should be a boost to the conservative half of the nation, thus a big boost for Trump who welcomed the court decision. But the reality is that one in five conceptions in the US ends in an abortion. A staggering figure, but it means a helluva lot of women are now to be deprived of easy access to local doctors to receive terminations, especially, of course, if they live in states that support the Supreme Court ruling. That could well bring a backlash at the polls against the Republicans, and definitely against Trump whose past comments about women and his attitude towards them should go against him if he decides to stand again. So the scrapping of Joe v Wade just might help the Democrats to keep control of the House of Repesentatives and the Senate in November. Likewise, the revelations by former White House aide Cassidy Hutchinson about Trump's furious temper and his ketchup moment should send alarm bells across the country. Richard Nixon had a terrible temper and used foul language too and look what happened to him. So, all in all, I think Biden and the Democrats will be feeling quietly confident about the midterms which goes to show, not for the first time, that events can change the political landscape overnight.

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