Tuesday 29 December 2020

Trump's last throw of the dice

First of all it's perhaps not a bad time to mention that the US Electoral College which rules on the winner of presidential elections confirmed recently that Joe Biden won by 306 votes to 232. That might seem to be indisputable. But on January 6, the day when Congress formally rubber-stamps the Electoral College declaration, Trump has called for a wild protest in Washington DC. The capital is likely to be filled with red-hat-wearing Trump supporters of all shapes and sizes demanding "four more years" for their beloved president. Congress will say otherwise. But that won't make any difference either for Trump himself or for his fans. This will be Trump's last throw of the dice. On January 6 he will have 13 days left as the 45th president, and however loud his fans shout for him to stay as president, constitutionally, legally and practically that's not going to happen. But it will be a last great hurrah for Trump, and maybe he will tell his adoring supporters that they will only have to wait another four years and he will be back. Could he chose January 6 to make the announcement, that he intends to stand again in 2024? I suspect he will keep them on tenterhooks, leaving it to them to demand he stand again, as I'm sure they will. He won 74 million votes in the 2020 election, more than any previous Republican president and for that reason he believes he has the right to be the Republican Party's standard bearer all the way to 2024. If he does declare his plan to stand in 2024, no one in the Republican party will dare to oppose him because of those 74 million fans. On January 6 Trump is going to go down fighting. Fighting for his future, fighting to be the 47th president. And his fans will be there to back him up.

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