Wednesday 2 September 2020

Does China want Joe Biden to win?

China, according to anyone of influence and knowledge in Washington, poses the greatest threat to America's national security interests now and in the future. For ever. Russia is pretty bad but China is the one with all the money and the long-term planning and a total addiction to greatness and military power. President Xi Zinping said he wanted China to be a world class military by 2049 and by golly, or whatever the Chinese say, he intends to be around when this edict is achieved. But right now, does it matter whether Beijing wants Trump or Biden to win the November 3 election - or reelection in Trump's case. Trump has said that he has seeen all the intelligence and the intelligence community believes that Beijing is supporting Biden for the presidency. In other words, they don't want Trump back in the saddle for the next four years. Well no one in the intelligence world in the US has said publicly that China is engaged in a subversive operation to do down Trump and back Biden. In fact Bill Evanina, the extremely smart head of the US National Counterintelligence and Security Centre, part of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, made no suggestion that China was pushing for Biden to be president when he appeared before a Senate committee recently. Trump believes otherwise based on something or other! I don't believe China would be so obvious in showing their preference. That's not the way the Chinese Communist Party works. In fact I doubt they have a preference at all. They can't like Trump after all the grievance he has given them. But I can't imagine Beijing is a devoted fan of Biden either. Russia is different. They are blatantly supporting Trump to be reelected and doing it in all kinds of underhand ways. But China? No I don't think so. Beijing will be watching with the usual inscrutability and will just carry on building a military power to rival the US in as quick a time as possible. Whether Trump or Biden win on November 3, that will not change. Beijing probably doesn't even care that much.

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