Saturday 23 November 2019

Could there be a coalition deal between Labour and Lib Dems?

Of all the possible outcomes of the UK general election, could this be one of them? Labour wins a tiny minority victory and has to turn to the Lib Dems to form a coalition because the Jo Swinson-led party does well and wins a dozen more seats. Swinson who has always made it clear she would never share government with Jeremy Corbyn as prime minister, agrees a deal but only if Corbyn is replaced, and hey presto Kier Starmer, decidely sensible and acceptable, is swiftly voted in as leader with Corbyn politically stabbed in the back. A Starmer-led Labour government with a remain-in-the-EU Lib Dem party could work! Possibly. Provided, of course, the Labour government goes for remaining in the EU and campaigns for it before a second people's vote referendum. I don't think this will happen but it's an intriguing thought, assuming that a Keir Starmer-led Labour government would drop over the cliff the ridiculous back-to-the-past election manifesto of Corbyn and co which includes renationalising everything from the Royal Mail to trains and water and electricity etc. A coalition government with a sensible spending programme and a reversal of the 2016 EU/UK referendum mandate would basically be good news. But sensible politics went out of the window a long time ago. First of all, if Labour were to win a minority victory, Corbyn and his merry Marxists would fight of any coup attempt and start ruining the country's economy without coming to any sort of coalition deal with the Lib Dems or anyone else. Nobody these days likes coalitions. The David Cameron/Nick Clegg partnership never worked. So Corbyn, having got the taste for power, would hang on to it like a barnacle to a rotting ship. So the option I have outlined is probably fantasy land. Most likely is the result I have predicted in earlier blogs: Boris wins with a small majority and presses on with his Brexit deal which inevitably means years and years of negotiations with the EU to get a trade agreement, guaranteeing a long period of uncertainty. Boris's pledge to forge a trade deal with the EU by the end of next year is I'm afraid pie in the sky. Boris knows that but he wants people to believe that he can do his magic trick and get it all sorted in double-quick time. Most of us are not going to be fooled, Boris.

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