Wednesday, 10 May 2017

Trump's Feebi moment

There must be something intensely satisfying about being able to sack, sorry, terminate, the director of the FBI. Trump did it in a swirl, wrote a brief letter and sent it by hand with his trusted private security man to FBI headquarters. He couldn't say: "You're fired", because James Comey might have thought it was Trump playing the Apprentice game for a laugh. So, that huge word, TERMINATE, was deployed instead. Not, your job is terminated, but you are terminated!! Wow, that's a letter to keep for the CV. I'll get to the whys and wherefores in a minute. But let's first remember J Edgar Hoover. He was the first FBI director and he served under six presidents, four of whom, Harry Truman, Dwight Eisenhower, John F Kennedy and Richard Nixon, wanted to sack him but none of them dared. This was because the nice Mr Hoover had built up such a mountain of files on every president, including all their foibles and secret desires and naughty stuff, that none of them ever got to write a Trump-type termination letter. Now Comey had only been FBI director for three and a half years, but he must have gathered a few snippets of interest to store away. Probably not that much with Obama. He always seemed pretty squeaky clean. But Trump, oh my goodness, where could he start? And of course, as soon as he started getting his best investigators to trawl through wiretaps of Russian officials and SVR types in Washington and back in Moscow, hunting for any collusion evidence between Trump campaign members and the Ruskies, he must have thought he was going to find some golden nuggets;especially after Christopher Steele, the British former MI6 intelligence officer, revealed in a leaked dossier that Trump had been photographed in a Moscow hotel in his pre-president days, having a few lovely ladies urinating on his person, for pleasure. The great Golden Shower affair. Fake news, said Trump, and I guess I believe him. He couldn't have been so stupid, surely, to do any such thing in a Moscow hotel? But Steele came up with masses of financial skulduggery as well. No one has really managed to provide any evidence to back up Steele's claims. He was a good intelligence officer, but my reading of the dossier was that this was a man who had spent years in MI6 and was now, as a private security consultant, making a few bob by throwing in everything he had ever heard on the street or in gossipy wine bars about Trump's exploits. It was not a dossier that was ever going to be taken totally seriously as a result. Poor judgment in my view. But this is all yesterday. What about Comey today? Did he learn anything incriminating about Trump campaign team collusion with Moscow to destroy Hillary Clinton? And will he now reveal all to the Senate and House intelligence committees, free, as he is, to speak his mind unencumbered by FBI confidentiality restrictions? Will he become Trump's worst enemy, and will it bring Trump down? I seriously doubt he has such evidence. James Clapper, the former director of national intelligence, has stated that there is no evidence of collusion. Clapper is not a Trump man. He served under Obama. If he says there was no collusion, then I tend to believe him. Trump must have felt safe terminating Comey, because he knew there had been no collusion, not with his name on it anyway. He'd basically gone off Comey because instead of saving the country from terrorists and other bad guys he appeared to be spending all his time delving into the election campaign trying to detect any smell of Russian interference and plotting. Comey had also rudely dismissed Trump's allegation that Obama had tapped his phones in Trump Tower. That must have pissed him off. How dare the director of the FBI poo poo his claim, and in public! So Comey's days were numbered from that moment on. It's just that Trump's timing is terrible. He chose to terminate Comey just as Sergei Lavrov, the lugubrious Russian foreign minister, was about to have a session with him in the White House. Conspiracy theorists went wild! So, here is my prediction for what will happen after the intelligence committees and FBI have concluded their investigations: there will be NO prima facie evidence of collusion between Moscow and Trump or anyone else but there will be new dirt on one person - Mike Flynn. So, the book will be thrown at Flynn, and he could go to jail, unless, of course, he does a deal. But whatever he offers in return for keeping out of prison, no one is going to believe him, not on his record. Trump will carry on and complete his four years. After that is anyone's guess.

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