Thursday, 17 April 2025
Trump still confident he can get a deal to end the war in Ukraine and stop an Iranian nuke
One thing that can be said about the Donald Trump administration is that it is still suffused with confidence that it can end the war in Ukraine and stop Iran from building a nuclear bomb. According to the International Atomic Energy Agency, Iran now has all the ingredients to make a nuclear bomb and it could be done in weeks if the ayatollahs approved. It's maximum brinkmanship. On the war in Ukraine question, although there are no signs of any imminent or foreseeable deal with Moscow, there are a lot of talks going on and something might suddenly emerge to give hope of a ceasefire. But in the meantime, Putin is hammering Ukraine like he expects the war to continue until the whole country is destroyed. Right now, Ukraine and a Tehran nuke are the biggest issues for the White House to resolve. The administration appears to have effectively given up on bringing a ceasefire in Gaza and is allowing Israel to do what it feels it needs to do. So all the diplomatic efforts are focusing on Moscow and Tehran. If the diplomacy, backed up by threats and warnings, fail to deliver, then there is a strong chance the war in Ukraine will continue for years, and Tehran will go for the nuke and suffer the consequences - bombing by Israel and backed up by the US. This, I believe, is the last thing Trump wants. He doesn't want another war and certainly not one that involves the US. So I anticipate a massive diplomatic effort to stop Iran before catastrophe arrives.
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