Wednesday, 9 April 2025

Does Trump want a war with China?

Two things have occurred at the same time which raises the concern that the new administration in Washington is heading for a war with China: a trade war has already started, a military war could be ahead in the not too distant future. This is scary stuff. The two things are the 104 per cent tariffs put on all Chinese goods entering the American market, and a warning from a very senior US military commander that the armed forces need to carry out a full, across-servce military exercise to preoare for war in the Pacific (with China). He says there have been lots of studies on jont-arms requirements but no proper actual exercise. So watch out for a mammoth exercise in the Pacific in the future involving every aspect of the army, navy, air force, marines and special forces. Can Trump really want a war with China? The concequences for the region and for the world would be catastrophic. If it's all bluster and just about giving China a kick in the teeth and putting them in place, then it's a dangerous gamble. China is the one country in the world unlikely to back down against Trumpian pressure. The trouble is, Trump can't afford to back down either. It's back to the bad old days of brinkmanship.

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