Tuesday 28 February 2023

Could Trump still win the Republican nomination?

Amazing though it might seem for most of us, there is still a chance that Donald Trump will win the Republican nomination for the 2024 presidential election. It's amazing because despite all the hugely negative stuff around about Trump and what he did or didn't do when he was president for four years, there are still so many devoted fans that they appear prepared to shut their ears to all the bad things and just vote for him anyway. Why? Because he is big and brusque and claims to have the answers to all the world's troubles, like his boast that he could solve the Ukraine war drama within 24 hours of taking office. It's almost worth having him back in the White House just to see what exactly he has in mind. I did say almost.... I assume what he would do is ring his old friend Putin on Day One and shout at him to stop the war and then ring Zelensky and give him an ultimatum, stop fighting or the US arms production line to Kyiv comes to an abrupt end. Would he, could he do that? Yes he could and would, and order Nato allies to do the same. Trump announced he was standing again four months ago and since then he has been on the campaigning beat. The latest poll figures in the US indicate that Trump is miles ahaead of his putative biggest rival for the Republican nomination, Florida governor Ron DeSantis. Nikki Haley, the only other Republican to have offered her name for the 2024 battle, will be a breath of fresh air and could do quite well to start with but unfortunately I don't think she will stand a chance if the Big Boys, Trump and DeSantis, line up for the fight. The other likely males, Mike Popmeo and Mike Pence, also haven't a hope in hell. So, yes, there is a very high possibility that Trump will win the nomination. As I said, amazing that I have to come to this conclusion. Here in the UK, they say Boris Johnson is a busted flush and will never make it back to Downing Street. But Trump could be the chosen one for the Republicans for 2024. However, he will have to have another go at beating Joe Biden who right now must feel pretty confident about winning a second term. If he decides to stand that is.

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