Saturday, 20 June 2026

The Lebanon question is going to ruin the Iran deal

The Lebanon issue is striking back. Iran has been very clever. By insisting that Israel's war with Hezbollah in Lebanon has to be linked inextricably with the Trump/Iran deal, it means every time there is violence in Lebanon, the Iranians take revenge, by closing the Strait of Hormuz again - like they have today - or refusing to start discussions in the 60-day phase of the negotiations to conclude a final settlement. This puts all the emphasis on Israel to stop bombing Hezbollah. But if Hezbollah attacks Israel, Israel will attack Hezbollah, Benjamin Netanyahu has made that clear. So it goes on. The Trump/Iran deal is so fragile, it could collapse any day. But the clever thing is that Iran can then blame Israel, when in fact it's just as much Iran's fault because the mullahs have failed to rein in Hezbollah. But Trump will be so angry he will also blame Israel. Yes, the leaders of the Iranian regime have been very clever. They have outsmarted everyone.

No comments:

Post a Comment