Tuesday, 18 March 2025

Potentially an historic day but not for Ukraine

Two hours have been set aside for the phone call between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin today to try and weave some sort of deal to end the war in Ukraine. From remarks made by Trump so far it could be a carve-up of territory a la the Yalta agreement after the Second World War. Ukraine at present doesn't have a voice. Zelensky won't be sitting in on the phone call. He will remain in ignorance of the jousting that will go on between Trump and Putin, and when it's all over, it will be presented to him like a done deal. Russia can have this piece of territory and that piece of territory and this nuclear power plant and that hydroelectic plant and this city and that city and Ukraine can have what's left. That's about it. Whether this brings the war to an end is another matter. If it really is going to be this sort of carve-up then Zelensky will never give it his blessing and the whole of Europe will be up in arms. However it comes out I don't see Britain and France being allowed to send in troops to monitor the so-called peace deal. If every European leader rejects the Trump-Putin deal, how could they possibly oversee a peacekeeping force in Ukraine? It would just add to Europe's humiliation. Theoretically it could be an historic day today in terms of bringing the terrible three-year war to an end, but it could be the worst possible day for Zelensky and for Ukraine and for the thousands of people living in the "annexed" regions in eastern Ukraine who will have to live under Russian occupation for the rest of their lives.

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