Wednesday 9 November 2022

Trump loses - kind of

Donald Trump will no doubt deny it but he hasn't got what he wanted in the midterm elections. He will still declare it a great victory for him because the Republicans appear to have won control of the House of Representatives but, so far anyway, have failed to grab the majority in the Senate. Trump will probably claim it was all fixed and a false result but the fact is he has been dealt a blow to his ego. Some of his personally selected candidates haven't made it and the great red rush of Republican wins across the country just hasn't materialised. There are a number of positives that have come out of the midterms: Trump may have scared off a lot of voters and the Democrats have done much better than they predicted. It may also give Trump reason to feel les confident about making his "very big" announcement next week. For Biden it's more complicated. Obviously if the Democrats had swept all before them and won control of both houses of Congress for the next two years that would have been a helluva filip for his administration and probably would have encouraged him to be defnite about standing for reelection as president in 2024. But losing the House of Representatives and hanging on to the Senate for dear life, albeit wth an extra seat (so far), can't really be classed as a major victory. Biden's poll ratings are also slipping. So in other words, the Big Declaration for the 2024 battle is not as clear-cut for either Biden or Trump.

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