Saturday, 9 November 2024

Trump's change in focus on Ukraine

All of a sudden, no one is interested in what Joe Biden might be able to do in his last two months in office, it's all and only about Donald Trump and what he might do in his first few weeks of taking over the White House. This is hardly surprising but it must be galling for Biden and for his vice president Kamala Harris. One of Trump's advisers has made it clear how the 47th president intends to focus his mind on Ukraine. No longer helping Ukraine to win a victory against Russia which was never realistic, but on achieving peace. Peace, not war. After nearly three years of devastation, that surely must be the right way forward, even if it means Russia gaining. But before negotiations start, Ukraine will have to fight harder than they have ever done to try and retrieve what they can in eastern Ukraine. Realistically there is probably very little they can do but, if nothing else, they will have to stop Russia from gaining any further territory, in particular strategic towns that will help Moscow carve out an even more advantageous slice of the country. One thing that will remain always in Russian hands will be Crimea which was seized in 2014 without so much as a whimper from the US and Europe. The same Trump aide, speaking to Reuters, said Crimea was gone. That will be grim news for Zelensky who has always said he won't contemplate any deal with Putin unless he gets Crimea back. But the aide, presumably speaking for Trump, has ruled this out. The way forward for Zelensky and for the thousands of Ukrainian soldiers who have lost their lives trying to defend their country is looking pretty bleak. Nevertheless, peace is the right focus.

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