Friday, 11 March 2022
Will Putin's generals eventually deliver?
After two weeks anyone in the know, espeially in Russia, will have concluded that the war in Ukraine has not gone according to the Kremlin pan. The Ukrainian forces plus armed citizens have fought a helluva lot harder than Putin and hs cohorts ever imagined. The statistics of the war must make gruesome reading in Moscow. Maybe 10,000 dead Russian soldiers and hundreds of tanks, armoured personnel carriers, fighter aircraft and helicopters destroyed. Reports claim a number of Russian generals have been fired back in Moscow. And several of the highest-ranking commanders in charge in Ukraine have been killed. On the other side of the war balance, if you are inside Putin's mind, Ukrainian cities have been battered, Ukrainian civilians have been killed and injured, two million have left their homes to join the refugee evacuation to bordering countries and Ukraine, mostly in the east and south, has been terrorised, lives ruined for ever. Putin would consider that half of the statistical balance progress. Now I fear he is going to step up the war to a scale we have not yet witnessed. The generals under his command are on notice to bring Ukraine's head on a plate, and that means the destruction and seizure of Kyiv and the removal, one way or the other, of this turbulent comedian president - to plaguarise the words of King Henry 11 when he wished for the elimination of the turbulent priest, Sir Thomas Becket, Archbishop of Canterbury, in 1170. There are already signs that this is what the Russian commanders are now trying to do. Overnight the much-reported convoy of armoured vehicles and supply vehicles north of Kyiv has split up and moved to positions to begin the siege of the capital. Artillery is in place for bombardment. Putin is angry. The next phase of this war is going to be much worse. Putin is determined to win by destruction and this is what we are going to see on a much larger scale in the next few weeks. Putin's generals I fear will deliver what he wants.
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