Thursday, 21 October 2021
Time to deal with North Korea and Iran
So much focus is going on at this time aboout the threats posed by big-power rivals China and Russia that the more near-term scary stuff - vis a vis North Korea and Iran - seems to be increasingly unfixable. North Korea is giving off weird signals about wanting peace but firing off missiles almost every day, some of them claimed to be new and much more advanced and exotic. And Iran is so anti-US that it's difficult to see how the Biden administration is going to persuade the ayatollahs to go back to the 2015 nuclear deal signed with Obama. Admittedly they have an excuse because it was Donald Trump when president who opted out of the deal, saying it was a disaster. So now with Joe Biden trying to get the whole deal back on track, Tehran seems to be saying "Ha, we don't trust you." But Iran is now governed by an even more conservative president than the previous one and the brinkmanship game is red-hot, with Tehran wanting the lifting of all international sanctions in return for any sort of restrictions on its nuclear programme. As for North Korea, if they do have any doves in their cupboards they ain't flying! The only things flying are ballistic, cruise and hypersonic missiles into the Sea of Japan. This can't go on. Something will either go wrong or there could be a miscalculation. Biden is so focused on his domestic multi-trillion dollar social revival programme that his eye may not be on the North Korea and Iran ball. It's time for serious talking. I see the US ambassador to the United Nations has today urged talks with Pyongyang but Kim Jong-un is too busy launching missiles to listen. Biden I think, if he hasn't already, should consider doing a Trump and offer to meet the chap and try and knock some sense into him. But then Trump failed so there's not much chance the North Korean leader will listen with much interest to the softly-speaking Biden. And Iran? Who knows whether they want any sort of deal. I think they are still determined to go nuclear (weapons, not energy) and will only do a deal when they've got them.
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