Monday, 21 October 2019
Democrats in US now struggling to anoint the best candidate to defeat Trump
There is no longer any common sense in politics. Anywhere in the world. In Britain Boris Johnson is fighting to get his Brexit deal approved and is facing monstrous obstacles in the way. But is the Labour Party under Jeremy Corbyn now riding high in people's minds as the next government-in-waiting? No, definitely not. Why? Because the Labour Party is in a total mess with disagreements between Corbyn and almost everyone else. If there was an election in the UK tomorrow, Corbyn would lose. It's the same story in the United States, only for different reasons. President Trump is facing impeachment, his foreign policy decisions have little if any merit, he makes up his mind in a flash, he is waging a trade war with China that sees no end, he removes US troops from Syria then seems to want to keep 100 or so in eastern Syria (what for exactly?), he sacks everyone who dares to disagree with him and thinks it was perfectly all right to arrange for the next G7 summit to be held at his fancy resort in Florida. By rights the Democrats should be feeling confident of ousting Trump in next year's presidential election and one of the candidates should already be measuring the curtains in the White House. But no, this is just not the case. The Democrats are in a muddle. They don't know who they really want as their presidential nominee. There is no one who has stepped forward with a shining light above his or her head.The polls are going mad, first it was Joe Biden all the way, leading by a comfortable margin, then he started to slip and Elizabeth Warren raced up behind him and overtook him in many of the primaries. But her financial policies are so complex it reminds you of Obama's Obamacare health reforms which are still reviled across the country. I still find it extraordinary that people who refuse to sign up to Obamacare have to pay an annual fine! Warren will slip down the polls, take my word for it. Biden is never going to make the nomination. Ukrainegate will get to him eventually because people the odious Rudy Giuliani will dig up enough dirt about him and his son Hunter to make voters think twice about supporting the Biden name for the presidency. So no Biden and no Warren. Who amongst the plethora of candidates is going to rise to the occasion? Who is honestly going to stop Trump from winning a second four-year term? The guy creeping up the polls at the moment is Pete Buttigieg, mayor of South Bend, Indiana. He has star-quality good looks, is young, and sounds articulate and inspirational. A natural you would have thought. But will he become the Democratic party establishment's favourite candidate? It seems doubtful although it would be terrific to see someone like Buttigieg taking on the ageing encumbent president. Kamala Harris I still like a lot but she is so low down in the ratings it's impossible to see her advancing much further. Likewise Tulsi Gabbard (what on earth was that "she's a Russian asset" allegation by Hillary Clinton all about?) and Amy Klobuchar and not popular enogh. That leaves dear old Bernie Sanders, now recovered from his heart attack and ploughing on like an ox with a heavy cart behind him. No, Bernie won't make it either. Thus the Democratic Party, like the Labour Party in UK, is all mixed up and suffering without a leader-in-waiting. Unless Buttigieg suddenly turns into everyone's dream candidate, there will be no one with exceptional qualifications and charisma to defeat Trump. Trump will thus win by default.
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