Tuesday, 21 May 2019
One last chance - again - for a Brexit.
You've got to give it to Theresa May. She is expecting MPs this time round - ie for the fourth time - to sign up to her Brexit deal even though there is still very little difference between her first offer, her second offer, her third offer and now her fourth offer. The ony thing that IS extra is her agreement to let MPs vote on whether to hold a second referendum, something she has always rejected. That might just be enough to persuade some Labour MPs to vote in her favour. But how would the second referendum be phrased? If it's to be - approve her Brexit or go for a no-deal Brexit, you can bet your life that at least half the country will say yes to no-deal. If it's to be - approve her deal or revoke article 50 and thus stay in the EU, Theresa May might squeeze enough votes to get her proposals through. Not because the country will suddenly learn to love her deal but because the majority of people (not me of course) I suspect do NOT want to stay in the EU because it would mean that the last three years of negotiations and rows and divisions and anger has all been a total waste of time - and money by the way. So a second referendum is not going to be a magic wand to bring peace and unity to this divided country. It will only cause more divisions and more anger whichever way it goes. But the one-last-chance ultimatum from Theresa May is just that. MPs and then the country HAVE to make up their mind. Prime Minister Boris Johnson or Michael Gove or Dominic Raab or Jeremy Corbyn are not going to make a blind bit of difference. If there is a second referendum the conclusion, if there is a conclusion, will be final. In out turn it all about, we will have a result! At last. Then Theresa will step down either in glory or in defeat. Today I felt truly sorry for her when she appealed to everyone to compromise because, as she said, she had compromised by stepping down from the job she loved earlier than she would have liked. Aaaaah, that is sad. But I hate to say it, her legacy is going to be pretty dismal, even though it was her predecessor, David Cameron, who is wholly to blame.
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